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Only a few games left to figure out the playoffs. Putting this on a bit early for the Friday game.
Friday
10 Oregon vs 17 Utah 8:00 ABC Utah -2.5 O/U 58
Pac 12 Champhiosnip - Raiders Stadium in Vegas
There seems no way the winner can make the playoffs. Utah pretty much guaranteed the Pac gets skipped when they blew out Oregon a few weeks ago. This game is for the Rose Bowl where the winner will likely play Ohio State unless Michigan loses to Iowa.
Saturday
9 Baylor vs 5 Oklahoma State 12:00 ABC - Ok St -5.5 O/U 56.5
Big 12 Championship Cowboy Stadium Arlington
with only 1 loss, OK State has a shot at the playoffs with a win. Actually they shopuld be a lock with a win and an Alabama loss but who knows with the committee.
1 Georgia vs 3 Alabama 4:00 CBS - UGA -6.5 O/U 49.5
SEC Championship Atlanta
Georgia is virtually guaranteed a playoff spot. The only way they won't make the playoff is if they get blown out by like 30 and even then ESPN would probably put them in over Cincy. The game may be meaningless to UGA but they would be dumb not to take the opportunity to knock Bama out of the playoff right here and guarantee the 1 seed. If Bama wins they will get in and they'll probably rig it to make sure Bama and GA don't meet in the first round.
UGA has looke unbeatable but they really haven't play that tough a schedule at least not against good offensive teams. But Bama's offense has not looked great. Auburn has a talented defense and they confused Bryce Young. UGA can do the same. Unless UGA phones this one in knowing they can lose, i don't think Bama can win this one.
21 Houston vs 4 Cincinnati 4:00 ABC Cin -10.5 O/U 52.5
American Athletic COnference Championship - Nippert Stadium Cincinnati
I don't follow the AAC enough to know if their Champ game is always played in Cincy or if it is just played at the home field of the top ranked team. In any case, it's a home game for Cincy and that could be significant for a Texas team playing in Ohio in December.
Lot's of pressure on Cincy. Not only do they have to win, but they may have to win with style points to avoid getting jumped by OK State who could add a top 10 win to their resume.
Is Fickel getting job offers? Maybe his head's not in this game
2 Michigan vs 13 Iowa 8:00 FOX Mich -11 O/U 43.5
Big Ten Championship Indianapolis
Michigan finally got over the hump vs OSU by being more physical and just pushing them around. Iowa should be able to match the physicality at least. This has the potential to be a snooze of a game as you can see by the over under of just 43.
Michigan is in the playiof with a win. If they lose, then the Big 10 is probably not getting a team in the playoff. I doubt they'd take 2 loss Ohio state and i can't see them taking Iowa. Iowa would get a trip to the Rose Bowl and OSU and Mich would be relegated to lesser bowls.
You want the playoffs to expand. Root for the Big 10 to get left out while teams like Cincy and Ok State get in the playoff.
15 Pitt vs 16 Wake Forest 8:00 ABC Pitt -3 O/U 71
ACC Championship Charlotte NC
certainly not the game the ACC had in mind. With Clemson having such a horrible year, you have 2 teams looking to add a championship to the trophy case before Clemson gets turned around. Feels like the years when Michael Jordan "retired" and things were up for grabs. This could be an entertaining game though if the Mich Iowa game is 6-3 in the second half.
Let's look at some scenarios
It's all about the playoffs, so here's the playoff rankings
1 Georgia - in unless blown out
2 Michigan - in with a win, out with a loss
3 Alabama - in with win only
4 Cincinnati - should be in with win but could get jumped by OK St
5 Oklahoma State - could jump Cincy with an impressive win vs 9 Baylor
6 Notre Dame - idle - needs both Cincy and Ok St losses
7 Ohio State - idle - needs Michigan, Bama, Cincy and Ok State losses. Unlikely but possible
8 Ole Miss - idle - i can't see a path
9 Baylor - win big vs Ok State plus Bama loss and they have a shot, especially if Cincy loses
10 Oregon - no shot
Friday
10 Oregon vs 17 Utah 8:00 ABC Utah -2.5 O/U 58
Pac 12 Champhiosnip - Raiders Stadium in Vegas
There seems no way the winner can make the playoffs. Utah pretty much guaranteed the Pac gets skipped when they blew out Oregon a few weeks ago. This game is for the Rose Bowl where the winner will likely play Ohio State unless Michigan loses to Iowa.
Saturday
9 Baylor vs 5 Oklahoma State 12:00 ABC - Ok St -5.5 O/U 56.5
Big 12 Championship Cowboy Stadium Arlington
with only 1 loss, OK State has a shot at the playoffs with a win. Actually they shopuld be a lock with a win and an Alabama loss but who knows with the committee.
1 Georgia vs 3 Alabama 4:00 CBS - UGA -6.5 O/U 49.5
SEC Championship Atlanta
Georgia is virtually guaranteed a playoff spot. The only way they won't make the playoff is if they get blown out by like 30 and even then ESPN would probably put them in over Cincy. The game may be meaningless to UGA but they would be dumb not to take the opportunity to knock Bama out of the playoff right here and guarantee the 1 seed. If Bama wins they will get in and they'll probably rig it to make sure Bama and GA don't meet in the first round.
UGA has looke unbeatable but they really haven't play that tough a schedule at least not against good offensive teams. But Bama's offense has not looked great. Auburn has a talented defense and they confused Bryce Young. UGA can do the same. Unless UGA phones this one in knowing they can lose, i don't think Bama can win this one.
21 Houston vs 4 Cincinnati 4:00 ABC Cin -10.5 O/U 52.5
American Athletic COnference Championship - Nippert Stadium Cincinnati
I don't follow the AAC enough to know if their Champ game is always played in Cincy or if it is just played at the home field of the top ranked team. In any case, it's a home game for Cincy and that could be significant for a Texas team playing in Ohio in December.
Lot's of pressure on Cincy. Not only do they have to win, but they may have to win with style points to avoid getting jumped by OK State who could add a top 10 win to their resume.
Is Fickel getting job offers? Maybe his head's not in this game
2 Michigan vs 13 Iowa 8:00 FOX Mich -11 O/U 43.5
Big Ten Championship Indianapolis
Michigan finally got over the hump vs OSU by being more physical and just pushing them around. Iowa should be able to match the physicality at least. This has the potential to be a snooze of a game as you can see by the over under of just 43.
Michigan is in the playiof with a win. If they lose, then the Big 10 is probably not getting a team in the playoff. I doubt they'd take 2 loss Ohio state and i can't see them taking Iowa. Iowa would get a trip to the Rose Bowl and OSU and Mich would be relegated to lesser bowls.
You want the playoffs to expand. Root for the Big 10 to get left out while teams like Cincy and Ok State get in the playoff.
15 Pitt vs 16 Wake Forest 8:00 ABC Pitt -3 O/U 71
ACC Championship Charlotte NC
certainly not the game the ACC had in mind. With Clemson having such a horrible year, you have 2 teams looking to add a championship to the trophy case before Clemson gets turned around. Feels like the years when Michael Jordan "retired" and things were up for grabs. This could be an entertaining game though if the Mich Iowa game is 6-3 in the second half.
Let's look at some scenarios
It's all about the playoffs, so here's the playoff rankings
1 Georgia - in unless blown out
2 Michigan - in with a win, out with a loss
3 Alabama - in with win only
4 Cincinnati - should be in with win but could get jumped by OK St
5 Oklahoma State - could jump Cincy with an impressive win vs 9 Baylor
6 Notre Dame - idle - needs both Cincy and Ok St losses
7 Ohio State - idle - needs Michigan, Bama, Cincy and Ok State losses. Unlikely but possible
8 Ole Miss - idle - i can't see a path
9 Baylor - win big vs Ok State plus Bama loss and they have a shot, especially if Cincy loses
10 Oregon - no shot
