It often seems that betting on NFL games is simple – just back the favorite and you’re done. But in reality, things on the field are far more unpredictable for Pittsburgh Steelers fans. In the NFL, every round can bring surprises.

Justin Berl/Getty Images
Pittsburgh Steelers fans upset after the outcome of a game.
If you want to bet smartly with bookmakers such as GG BET and minimize risk, it’s worth knowing certain patterns, schemes, and facts that regularly repeat themselves in stadiums. In this guide, you’ll learn several “tricks” for betting on games.
Basic Patterns: Bet With Knowledge
Sports betting offers plenty of interesting patterns and trends that practically beg to be used when betting online. Of course, there are never guarantees, but by “connecting the dots,” you can maximize your chances of landing a winning slip. Here are some examples:
- Top teams dominate at home. About 60–65% of games where the favorite plays at home end in their victory. Away matches are more unpredictable, and even lower-table teams can give favorites a hard time on their own turf.
- Division games matter. Normally, they're closer fought and the favorite could fall during any given matchup, home or away.
- Comeback teams. Some organizations are known for strong finishes and late scores. Tracking these trends is especially useful for “both teams to score” bets.
- Injuries and suspensions are key. The NFL relies heavily on its stars. Missing a top playmaker drastically changes the odds.
How to Bet Without Losing? Step-by-Step Advice
The NFL is full of surprises. Last season, underdogs won about 27% of their games. Here’s what you need to know to avoid losing in such a competitive league:
1. Manage Your Bankroll – The Foundation
The biggest mistake is betting too much on a single game. So how to control your funds?
- Set a limit. Decide on an amount you can lose. Only about 60–70% of favorite bets land, so losing streaks are possible.
- Keep records. Write down every bet: what, why, how much, and the result. Apps like Bet Angel help, and Polish bookmakers also offer detailed stats.
- Don’t chase losses. Doubling stakes after a loss usually leads to bigger losses.
- Look at advanced stats, like NFL NextGenStats.

NextGenStats.NFL.com
2. Analyze Data – Stats Are the Key
Never guess or rely on emotions. Bet based on facts. Luckily, the NFL is packed with data. Bookmakers and sites like WhoScored, Understat, or FootyStats provide in-depth stats. Focus on:
- Form and H2H. Check the last five matches and direct encounters.
- Injuries. Missing players can flip a result.
- Core stats. Game averages ~6 touchdowns per game, and home win rate percentages.
- xG (Expected Goals). Shows how many scores a team “should” score.
- Hidden details. Rainy matches statistically bring more mistakes and less scores.
3. Bet Beyond the Winner – Smarter Options
Beginners focus only on the winner. Consider alternatives with better value:
- Over/Under Totals.
- BTTS (Both Teams to Score) in a certain quarter.
- Value Bets. If a bookmaker offers 2.0 odds (50% chance) but stats show 60% likelihood, that’s value you should grab.
4. Avoid Costly Mistakes
Even the best analysis won’t help if you fall into traps:
- Emotions. Don’t bet on your favorite team. Fans lose 20–30% more by ignoring reality.
- Not comparing odds.
- Too many bets. Focus on 1–3 games per weekend. Players who do this win 10–15% more often.
- Impulsive live bets. Don’t bet during matches unless stats justify it.

Getty Images
A solo Steelers fans gets captured having a moment of anger about his favorite team.
Conclusion: How to Bet on the NFL Like a Pro
Successful NFL betting is not just clicking on favorites. It’s about combining knowledge, stats, and trend analysis. From team form to injuries, from second-half scores to late comebacks – every detail counts. Bet responsibly, track your wagers, and look for moments when bookmakers misprice odds, instead of betting emotionally.